{"id":21697,"date":"2026-09-11T01:37:36","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T01:37:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/8657085.xyz\/?p=21697"},"modified":"2026-09-11T01:37:36","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T01:37:36","slug":"are-interest-rates-on-their-way-up-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/8657085.xyz\/?p=21697","title":{"rendered":"Are interest rates on their way up again?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <div style=\"display: grid; grid-template-columns: 300px 160px; gap: 2px; width: 460px; background: #eee; padding: 2px;\">\r\n\r\n  <!-- \u6574\u884c\u5bbd\u5e7f\u544a -->\r\n  <div style=\"grid-column: 1\/-1; width: 460px; height: 250px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876674\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div style=\"grid-column: 1\/-1; width: 460px; height: 90px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876676\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <!-- \u5de6\u4fa7\u7ad6\u6392 -->\r\n  <div style=\"height: 250px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876672\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div style=\"height: 500px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876680\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <!-- \u53f3\u4fa7\u6469\u5929\u697c\uff08\u548c\u5de6\u4fa7\u5b8c\u5168\u5bf9\u9f50\uff09 -->\r\n  <div style=\"grid-row: 3\/5; height: 750px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876678\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  \r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e6\" data-zoneid=\"5876682\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n<\/div><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">The US-Iran war and resulting higher global oil and gas prices are stoking the inflation fears. Shipments through the Strait of Hormuz waterway, one of the world&#8217;s busiest oil and gas routes, have been restricted due to the war and a barrel of Brent crude is now around $105 (\u00a378), approaching levels last seen at the outbreak of the conflict. <\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Along with directly driving up costs for homes and businesses, higher energy prices can also make transporting goods more expensive and those extra costs can be passed down to consumers through steeper prices for the likes of food and other staples.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Central banks try to limit price rises with higher interest rates. By pushing up the cost of borrowing for things such as mortgages and credit cards, they seek to slow consumer spending and inflation. Higher rates also can give people incentives to save instead of spend.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">But its a balancing act, as higher rates can also encourage businesses to hold off on investing and hiring.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">When the Bank of England meets later next week, it is expected to try to look both at current price pressures and the wider economic picture. <\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Millions of UK households are set to see energy bills rise to the highest level for three years heading into the winter and gas prices have risen above 200p per therm for the first time since the end of 2022. <\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Inflation in the UK is at 2.9%, and it is expected to  jump in coming months.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">But despite those predictions, there appears to be broad agreement that the Bank will leave rates at 3.75%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">That&#8217;s because there is &#8220;no sign&#8221; of the so-called second-round effects of the price shock feeding through the economy, such as workers requesting wage rises or businesses hiking prices, according to Oxford Economics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">This gives the Bank &#8220;some breathing space,&#8221; added economist Alexander Harvey. <\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG, said that outside of the US, in places such as the UK, the economic environment has been &#8220;much weaker&#8221; than where it was  in 2022, when the last inflation shock hit the world. UK inflation reached a record high of 11.1% in October that year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Interest rates are already higher than four years ago, she added, and consumers, somewhat scarred by previous price hikes, have changed how they spend.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Also, four years ago &#8220;businesses were hiring aggressively, vacancies were at record highs, and more people were moving jobs than normal&#8221;, Harvey said, as the economy rebooted following Covid.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">&#8220;The conditions were in place for employees to push for significant pay rises in response to a significant inflation shock,&#8221; he said. &#8220;That&#8217;s in stark contrast to the current labour market.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Now, hiring is much weaker than average and there is less pressure to recruit &#8211; giving employees less leverage to demand higher pay.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \u603b\u5bb9\u5668\uff1a\u6700\u5927\u5bbd908px Grid\u7d27\u51d1\u5e03\u5c40 -->\r\n<div style=\"display: grid; 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