{"id":12966,"date":"2026-06-07T15:48:45","date_gmt":"2026-06-07T15:48:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/8657085.xyz\/?p=12966"},"modified":"2026-06-07T15:48:45","modified_gmt":"2026-06-07T15:48:45","slug":"la-mayors-race-projection-changes-everything-for-nithya-raman-and-spencer-pratt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/8657085.xyz\/?p=12966","title":{"rendered":"LA mayor&#8217;s race projection changes everything for Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <div style=\"display: grid; grid-template-columns: 300px 160px; gap: 2px; width: 460px; background: #eee; padding: 2px;\">\r\n\r\n  <!-- \u6574\u884c\u5bbd\u5e7f\u544a -->\r\n  <div style=\"grid-column: 1\/-1; width: 460px; height: 250px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876674\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div style=\"grid-column: 1\/-1; width: 460px; height: 90px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876676\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <!-- \u5de6\u4fa7\u7ad6\u6392 -->\r\n  <div style=\"height: 250px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876672\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  <div style=\"height: 500px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876680\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n\r\n  <!-- \u53f3\u4fa7\u6469\u5929\u697c\uff08\u548c\u5de6\u4fa7\u5b8c\u5168\u5bf9\u9f50\uff09 -->\r\n  <div style=\"grid-row: 3\/5; height: 750px; background: #ccc; display: grid; place-items: center;\">\r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e2\" data-zoneid=\"5876678\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  \r\n  <script async type=\"application\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.magsrv.com\/ad-provider.js\"><\/script> \r\n <ins class=\"eas6a97888e6\" data-zoneid=\"5876682\"><\/ins> \r\n <script>(AdProvider = window.AdProvider || []).push({\"serve\": {}});<\/script>\r\n<\/div><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Polymarket is projecting Nithya Raman is going to progress to the LA mayoral runoff in November after the latest drop of ballots put her within 1% of Spencer Pratt, sparking fury from the right.<\/p>\n<p>With roughly 78% of ballots counted as of Sunday morning, Karen Bass remains comfortably in first place with 34.8% of the vote. But the battle for second place has tightened considerably.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"nyp-slideshow-modal-image wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><figcaption>Nithya Raman has climbed to 26.2%, just one percentage point behind Spencer Pratt in polls.  <span class=\"credit\">Los Angeles Times via Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<figure class=\"nyp-slideshow-modal-image wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><figcaption>Reality television personality\u00a0Spencer Pratt\u00a0now holds 27.3% of the vote. <span class=\"credit\">Splash \/ SplashNews.com<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Reality television star Pratt\u00a0now holds 27.3% of the vote, while Raman has climbed to 26.2%, leaving the two candidates separated by just 7,494 votes, according to the Associated Press.<\/p>\n<p>It comes amid renewed questions over the Golden State\u2019s excruciatingly slow election count, with the Trump administration and local federal prosecutors investigating claims of election fraud.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"single__inline-module aligncenter wp-block-nypost-editor-primary-tag\">\n<\/aside>\n<p>The narrowing margin comes after Pratt maintained a second-place lead for several days following Tuesday\u2019s primary election.<\/p>\n<p>Prediction market Polymarket now projects Raman has a 99% chance of advancing to the runoff, while Pratt\u2019s chances have collapsed to just 1%.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"nyp-slideshow-modal-image wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><figcaption>Mail in ballots are expected to favor Raman over Pratt.  <span class=\"credit\">AP Photo\/Jae C. Hong<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>A similar pattern has emerged on Kalshi, where Raman\u2019s odds have surged to 97% and Pratt\u2019s have fallen to 3%.<\/p>\n<p>From as far back as May 11 to Election Night on Tuesday, the former reality TV star had more than a 75% chance to advance out of the primary, according to the betting platform Kalshi.<\/p>\n<p>Election officials still have nearly 200,000 ballots left to count, the majority of which are mail ballots which tend to swing towards left-wing candidates.<\/p>\n<p>Another batch is expected to drop Sunday evening. The dramatic shift in the race has also transformed the betting markets.<\/p>\n<p>A bettor who placed a $100 wager on Raman earlier in the week when she was given roughly a 20% chance of advancing would have stood to win several hundred dollars if she secured a runoff spot. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"nyp-slideshow-modal-image wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><figcaption>If Bass and Raman were to advance, it would pit two former allies against each other.  <span class=\"credit\">AFP via Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Now, however, the potential payout on the same $100 bet had shrunk dramatically as traders increasingly viewed her runoff berth as all but certain.<\/p>\n<p>A $100 bet on Spencer Pratt could pay out more than $1,000 if he pulls off an upset win. Even just days after Election Night, Pratt was widely viewed as the favorite to claim the second runoff spot.<\/p>\n<p>Betting markets had given him a strong advantage for weeks leading up to the election, and he remained ahead as the first rounds of vote counting were reported.<\/p>\n<p>Since then, however, each new batch of ballots has steadily chipped away at his lead.<\/p>\n<p>The shift has accelerated over the past several days as Raman continued to gain ground with each vote update, prompting bettors to rapidly reprice the race.<\/p>\n<p>The projected matchup could have major implications for the November election. <\/p>\n<p>Bass has already secured enough support to advance, but a runoff against Raman would create an all-Democratic contest between two candidates with significantly different visions for the city\u2019s future.<\/p>\n<p>If Raman were to advance, it would pit two former allies \u2014 her and Bass \u2014 against each other. <\/p>\n<p>The Trump administration and Los Angeles\u2019 top federal prosecutor are pursuing several election fraud investigations with the FBI as questions swirl over California\u2019s sluggish vote count.<\/p>\n<p>First Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli said Friday morning that he is working with the Department of Justice \u201cto conduct a comprehensive audit of California\u2019s voter rolls.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- \u603b\u5bb9\u5668\uff1a\u6700\u5927\u5bbd908px Grid\u7d27\u51d1\u5e03\u5c40 -->\r\n<div style=\"display: grid; 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